In the "nuts and bolts" of politics and voting projection there is no one I respect more than Michael Barone the author of the highly respected Almanac of American Politics. If I were to pick one person to spend election night with it would be Michael Barone. Here is a portion of his column today:
Bottom line: Romney 315, Obama 223.(electoral votes) That sounds high for Romney. But he could drop Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and still win the election. Fundamentals.
http://washingtonexaminer.com/barone-going-out-on-a-limb-romney-beats-obama-handily/article/2512470#.UJQ6lml26s0